Friday, October 21, 2011

International Relations Theory and Diplomats

 Recently, I had the privilege to listen to a high ranking NATO diplomat. I won't disclose his nationality, since that would reveal too much info. Suffice to say that he's pretty high up in NATO hierarchy, and had served as the spokesperson of the Foreign Ministry of his country prior to this post.

 For almost half hour, he talked about NATO's Afghanistan mission.
 I honestly cannot recall anything of substance from that entire speech.
 Except that troop withdrawal is planned by 2014.

 Since it seemed impossible to derail the NATO diplomat from his rehearsed lines, I saved my questions for this blog.

Here we go:

Q1: What exactly is NATO's job definition in Afghanistan?

My educated guess: Establish stability and security??

My comment: Good luck with that one!

Stability and security requires a functional state. What is the grand strategy to achieve this?

The only two successful cases of state building through military intervention were Japan and Germany. Besides, they had functional, highly effective state apparatuses before being destroyed during WWII. In both cases, state building was not just a military task. World Bank, then called the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, was heavily utilized to rebuild Europe.

In short, NATO in Afghanistan is de facto engaged in state building. But it is ill-equipped for this task. Furthermore, we don't even know if all the members are content with this "state building" mission...

Q2: What exactly is NATO's exit strategy in Afghanistan?

My educated guess: Nada!

My comment: We owe this concept largely to Colin Powell, probably the only decent man in GWBush cabinet. The senior NATO diplomat said absolutely nothing about the exit strategy in 2014.

What amazes me the most is, how they come to speak for so long and manage to say absolutely nothing... Hence, is the cartoon below. Sorry if it offends any diplomat admirers...

 Lastly, someone in the audience asked the diplomat his opinions of Arab Spring. He said, "well, each case is very specific, unique to itself..." As a scholar, this kind of statements just spike my blood pressure.

 I'm not saying let's rush to lump apples and oranges, but come on. Where is your systematic analysis?

There is either some kind of ignorance or contempt for generalization among the diplomats. They feel like they have to re-invent the wheel at every single incident. Yet, there is a huge literature on revolutions and social movements. Political science have not been sleeping over the French, Russian and Iranian revolutions.

 Likewise, diplomats seem to completely ignore theoretical approaches in the study of IR and foreign policy. Mostly, they endorse almost an archaic form of realism, that even realists have grown out of, and expect their audience to concur... come on...

Unfortunately, Turkish universities have an old habit of employing retired diplomats as faculty in International Relations departments. This is a huge retrogress for our discipline. If anything, IR scholars should lecture the diplomatic core about the recent theoretical and analytical insights of our discipline.

Diplomats should keep in mind that anecdotes, no matter how interesting they are, do not count as social science.

The diplomat-weary Academic Mommy


2 comments:

  1. The ability to speak publicly without saying anything, and to invoke specificity as a means to avoid generalizations while the areas in question are still in ferment (and possibly in negotiations with NATO, in this case) may not be a fair characterization of what diplomats "do" or learn to do. The ones I know who prepared academically for a career in diplomacy were much more broadly aware of the field.

    All the above aside, listening to someone one went to hear because of their position and expertise as he natters on endlessly saying nothing of interest can be extremely boring. I know the feeling.

    My guess is that "realism" is embraced for the same reason short-term profits over longer term growth and responsible conduct; the political "powers that be" want results "now," not on some successor's watch.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dear Adviceyoudidn'tseek,

    Thanks for dropping by!

    I think your phrase "academically prepared for a career in diplomacy" is key here. Unfortunately, it was not applicable in my case...

    I think realism as theory/paradigm is much more nuanced and complex than the short-term opportunistic calculations of political "powers that be". Alas, -at least in Turkey- most don't even have that much comprehension of realism, so that they could carefully gauge the power relations and complex interest structures and make smart policy moves accordingly. Hence, the recent flip-flops in Turkish foreign policy towards Libya, Syria, etc....

    ReplyDelete